Why is trump still scoring in the economy when the United States is in recession

Election forecasters have long believed that economic performance is a key factor in determining the current president’s prospects for re-election. After World War II, for example, no president was re elected with double-digit unemployment. With the U.S. in recession, double-digit unemployment and a slowing economic recovery, polls and interviews with voters and political analysts show that trump is still recognized in the economy. Foreign media are concerned about why Trump’s approval rating in the polls on economic issues is higher than that of his predecessors Obama, George W. Bush and George H. W. Bush when they ran for re-election? The overall support rate of trump has not been outstanding since he took office. In contrast, economic issues are Trump’s strength. In a survey before the new crown pandemic, Trump’s support rate in the economy was more than 60%. < p > < p > with the spread of the new epidemic in the United States, economic activities have declined significantly, although Trump’s support rate and overall support rate on economic issues have been affected. But the economy is still trump’s bonus. For example, according to a Gallup poll released last week, Trump’s economic approval rating was 48% in August, compared with 63% in January. Trump is ahead of Biden in a poll released this week by NBC and the Wall Street Journal. A Reuters survey showed that the two people were equally supportive. Trump’s comparative advantage in economy and whether future presidential candidate Joe Biden can make a difference in economy are considered to be the key factors affecting the swing states in the Midwest and the sunshine zone, and these states play an important role in the general election. This summer, many states in the Midwest and sunshine zone are struggling with the rising infection rate and mortality rate of the new coronavirus, and are also facing problems such as unemployment, reduced wages and savings. History shows that this difficult period will pose a threat to trump, who is seeking re-election. However, despite the recession, double-digit unemployment rate and slowing economic recovery in the United States, opinion polls and interviews with voters and political analysts show that trump is still recognized in the economy. Economic issues remain at the heart of Trump’s bid for re-election and are expected to be the main topic of this week’s Republican National Congress. According to the New York Times, trump has established a popular image among conservative voters. In the eyes of conservative voters, trump is still a successful businessman and tough negotiator. Many of the voters expressed appreciation for Trump’s economic policies before the new crown popularity, and they did not blame trump for the economic losses. Some voters believe that the rise in the stock market is a powerful illustration of Trump’s policy. The change of economic data is also the reason for Trump’s economic advantage. David Winton, a Republican strategist and pollster, said that after more than 20 million people lost their jobs in March and April, 9 million jobs were added in May, June and July, which boosted Trump’s approval rating. Trump’s economic recognition “remains generally positive, more positive than the overall recognition at work,” Winton said, mainly due to the optimistic monthly employment report figures for the past three months. < p > < p > polls show that Americans who form the basis of Trump’s voters are less likely to lose their jobs or incomes than people or independent voters. Foreign media pointed out that this is related to ethnic differences and regional differences. In the process of economic recovery, the unemployment rate of black and Latino workers is still higher than that of white workers. And these people are more likely to support it. A survey monkey poll shows that Republicans are less likely to lose their jobs in a crisis than voters or independents. Polls show that less than a fifth of conservative Republican voters are worried about losing their jobs in the crisis, far less than any other ideological group. Nearly two fifths of conservative Republicans said that by the end of October, “the virus will be under control and the economy will become strong or steadily improving”, compared with only 3% who agree. < p > < p > opinion polls conducted in June, July and August by surveymonkey, an online research firm, showed that even Republicans hit hard by the crisis still spoke highly of trump and his economic policies. There are also voters who support Trump’s trade policy. “He’s the only one who brought jobs back to the United States and put the country first,” said Dale Palmer, 63. < / P > < p > “for a lot of voters, the perception of trump is basically ingrained,” said Amy Walters, national editor of the cook political report. It is worth noting that trump may be benefiting from the extreme polarization of American voters, which is so severe that it overwhelms the long-term link between economic performance and presidential support. < p > < p > in a recent ABC / Washington Post poll, two-thirds of Americans said the U.S. economy was in a bad state. Voter sentiment is also affecting the election, with polls showing that 70% of registered voters who think the economy is doing badly are planning to support Biden and his running mate, Harris, in November. Biden is also using economic issues to attract voters. At the National Congress last week, Biden highlighted his plan to create jobs and control the virus, and criticized trump for handling the epidemic. < p > < p > Biden’s campaign is also trying to write about it. In an ad, the Biden team claimed that “trump’s poor handling of the new crown pandemic has led to job losses.”. Campaign officials said Biden would step up publicity efforts in the coming weeks. Trump, on the other hand, is confident that economic issues are good for him in the election campaign. “We’re building the economy,” trump said at the national policy committee meeting of conservatives in Arlington, Virginia on the 21st. “And we’re far ahead. In every poll – even fake poll – we’re far ahead in the economy, which is very important.” < / P > < p > “trump is a master at persuading people to accept reality,” said Jared Bernstein, an economist at the center for budget and policy priorities. “But he can’t do it all the time, because people are faced with evictions, unemployment, falling incomes and huge difficulties in meeting basic needs.”