“Open space” or Tokyo Olympic Games option

Novel coronavirus pneumonia is still in the water. The

Tokyo Olympic Games has already entered the countdown for half a year. According to Kyodo news agency, the Japanese government is seeking realistic options for the Tokyo Olympic Games and Paralympic Games to be held as scheduled this summer. The “no audience running” plan is surfaced. “It is envisaged that the new crown pneumonia epidemic will not be subsided until the opening of the Olympic Games in July 23rd, and the” no spectator “plus” no limit “and” 50% “are being explored. ’There are three options. It is hoped that while giving priority to ensuring the safety of athletes and people related to the Olympic Games, it will avoid the cancellation or another extension of the Olympic Games, so as to reduce the negative impact on Kan Yiwei’s government. ”

Beijing time January 24th novel coronavirus pneumonia was released by the Japan bicycle association. The statement said that in a recent domestic cycling event in Japan, a large number of competitors were infected with the virus, and the nucleic acid test results showed that 31 people were positive. According to Japanese media reports, before the competition, the organizers of the competition claimed to have formulated strict epidemic prevention and control measures and countermeasures, but failed to avoid the outbreak in the end. At a time when the epidemic situation in Japan continues to be severe and uncontrollable, this incident adds new worries to the preparations for the Tokyo Olympic Games. < / P > < p > with the continuous expansion of the epidemic situation, the Tokyo Olympic Games has become a new boot. Recently, rumors about the postponement or even complete cancellation of the Tokyo Olympic Games have appeared many times, and the news has been reversed many times. Japan’s low domestic poll data and the uproar of questions from all walks of life have forced the Tokyo Olympic Organizing Committee and the International Olympic Committee to voice one after another, reiterating once again that the Tokyo Olympic Games will be held as scheduled, and “holding the Games in an empty space” has become a realistic plan intensively proposed at present. According to Kyodo news agency, the Japanese government has relaxed the admission number of professional sports events and other large-scale activities to 50% of the capacity since September 19 last year. However, with the announcement of emergency again this month, the admission standard of the declaration target areas has become strict, with a maximum of 5000 people and less than 50% of the capacity. In this case, some Japanese government officials said that it is becoming more and more difficult to hold the Olympic Games without a ceiling. < / P > < p > the president of Tokyo Metropolitan Medical Association, Toshio Osaki, expressed the view that “it should be discussed whether it can be held in the form of no audience”. In an interview with Asahi Shimbun, he said that in view of the high number of new coronavirus infections and the plight of Tokyo’s medical system, he asked the Japanese government and the Tokyo Olympic Organizing Committee to put forward realistic countermeasures. < / P > < p > according to the plan, there will be more than 10000 medical and nursing personnel participating in the medical rescue work of athletes and spectators in and around the Tokyo Olympic Games. In his view, the epidemic response is a long-term work, the medical and nursing personnel are already in a state of fatigue, and the burden of medical institutions is also heavy. Therefore, it is necessary not to give up the idea of inviting overseas people to hold the century celebration It’s not feasible. ” On the other hand, he fully respects the importance of the Olympic Games to athletes. “The original intention of the Olympic Games is to enable athletes from all countries to compete together”, but he calls for the discussion on the form of non spectators, which can not only reduce the burden of volunteers vaccinating and coping with the spectators, but also concentrate on completing the task of athletes’ medical security. < p > < p > Katrina stefanitsky, the Olympic women’s pole vault champion who opposed the competition last year, recently told Kyodo News Agency: “compared with last year when she knew nothing about the new coronavirus, this year’s situation is different. I believe that the Olympic Games will be held. Rather than cancel it, even if it’s empty, it’s better to hold it. ” Sebastian Coe, the president of IAAF, who opposed the Olympic Games as scheduled with her at that time, also said recently that he was full of confidence in the Tokyo Olympic Games this year. “If the only way to achieve this goal is to close the door to the audience, I think everyone will accept it.”. < / P > < p > compared with the reduction of staff size, the reduction of the number of delegation expectations, and the abolition of the number of ceremonies and other changes, “holding empty” has always been the most reluctant option for the IOC and host Japan. < / P > < p > in May last year, IOC President Bach made it clear that the IOC would not recognize the way of holding empty venues without spectators, “that’s not what we want, because one of the Olympic spirit is to let sports fans get together. This is the unique feature of the Olympic Games, which comes from sports fans from all over the world gathered in venues.” In October last year, he again gave a negative opinion on the open field. However, Japan’s reluctance is more practical. Yi Jiandong, a well-known sports scholar and Olympic research expert in China, quoted a journal article in his new year’s speech and pointed out that “Japan hopes that 40 million tourists will visit Japan by taking advantage of the Olympic Games, which is also the biggest sustenance for Japan to recover the cost of hosting the Olympic Games. But at present, 40 million tourists are already in the mirror. ” < / P > < p > in this context, the discussion of “holding empty venues” as an option is just to prevent the Olympic Games from falling into such a helpless but realistic situation of “cancellation”. After all, according to Japan’s Kansai University Honorary Professor of sports economics Miyamoto Shenghao estimates, if the Tokyo Olympic Games are cancelled, Japan’s economic loss is expected to reach 4 trillion 515.1 billion yen. < / P > < p > according to Kyodo news agency, Taiyu Yamashita, President of the Japanese Olympic Committee, said in an interview with Japanese media at the beginning of this month that it is not ruled out that the Tokyo Olympic Games will be held without spectators. The International Olympic Committee released a video on January 22, six months before the countdown to the opening of the Tokyo Olympic Games. Bach also hinted in the video that holding the Olympic Games empty is an option. “We will decide at an appropriate time what measures we need to deal with the epidemic.” In addition, in an interview with Kyodo news agency, he not only denied that the Tokyo Olympics would be cancelled or postponed again, but also said that “there is no taboo in putting safety first” on how to arrange the audience. < / P > < p > according to the analysis of the times, for the International Olympic Committee (IOC), which receives most of its revenue from TV broadcasting, it will not shake too many economic interests to hold the Olympic Games in an empty space. However, for Japan, if it adopts the form of an empty space, its ticket revenue alone is expected to lose 90 billion yen. < / P > < p > and the more macro losses are reflected in the data released by Miyamoto, which shows that if the Tokyo Olympic Games are held without spectators, Japan’s economic losses are expected to reach about 2.4133 trillion yen. This estimate is based on the expected economic effects of the Tokyo Metropolitan preparatory Bureau for the Olympic and Paralympic Games, taking into account various losses. It is estimated that the consumption expenditure of participants, spectators and families will lose about 719.8 billion yen, the corresponding loss for one year’s delay will be about 640.8 billion yen, and the sports revitalization behind the scenes will lose about 1.0527 trillion yen. < / P > < p > the difficulties in reality have increased, but if it is postponed or cancelled again, the impact will be immeasurable, “we can only persist.” Yuko Lai Tian, a professor of sports history at Peking University, told the Japan times that the Tokyo Olympic Games should not be “cancelled” or “postponed”, but should explore the most feasible way to hold the games under special circumstances. “In this process, the spirit of the Olympic Games can also be reflected.” He believes that the Olympic Games should also have a flexible response, “if put into the long river of history, the gains and losses now will be left to future generations to comment.”