Daily analysis: the general election has further torn apart the US political confrontation has intensified

Japan’s Yomiuri Shimbun published an article entitled “the election further tears the United States” on November 6. The author is Junping takemori, a professor at Keio University in Japan. The article points out that anger has become the biggest source of power to promote American politics, and this situation may last for a long time in the future. Excerpts from the full text are as follows: < / P > < p > the US election is so tight. In this election, not only Georgia and Arizona, the two southern states with a growing urban population, but also Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, which became the decisive stage in the last election, have become the focus states again. < / P > < p > these three states are the gathering areas of the manufacturing industry in the United States, and the trade unions have great influence and have always been the big vote warehouses. However, this situation has changed greatly with the decline of American manufacturing industry in recent years. As the cause of the recession, we can mainly cite two aspects: the improvement of mechanization and the expansion of import scale from foreign countries. < / P > < p > the white middle class and middle-school class, who are uneasy about employment and income, have abandoned the institutionalists who have shown tolerance for free trade and have instead resonated with the Republican Party. The weak advantage in these three states is the most important reason that helped trump win in 2016. Today, four years later, trump, who is already president, has fulfilled the promises he made during his campaign and has started a trade war. But that doesn’t mean American manufacturing is reborn. The trade war has shaken the free trade and multilateral trade system, and caused negative impact on the global economy, but failed to bring real benefits to the United States itself. In response to the epidemic, the U.S. government failed to come up with consistent countermeasures, highlighting the low governing ability of the president, which has brought serious impact on the lives of the American people. According to the election results, only a slight increase in the number of voters in Wisconsin and Michigan who criticized Trump’s lack of governing ability was only slightly higher than that in the last election. On the other hand, even if trump has won Ohio, the anxiety of the white middle class still seems to linger. Anger has become the biggest source of power driving American politics, and this situation is likely to last for a long time to come. On the contrary, other developed countries are introducing long-term strategic objectives one after another. Among them, the most representative is the commitment of the European Union and the “target of decarbonization by 2050” put forward by Japanese Prime Minister Yoshi Kan. China has also proposed carbon neutrality by 2060. Looking at the United States again, trump, who decided to withdraw from the Paris Agreement, has no interest in these matters, but Biden has made it clear that he intends to complete decarbonization by 2050. However, judging from the election results, even if Biden wins, the United States is unlikely to implement similar long-term policies and play a global leadership role in environmental issues. Even if they win the election in the shadow of the epidemic, the Republican Party with the opposite position may still win the White House in the next election. It is hard to expect the United States to implement a consistent long-term policy. < / P > < p > in the simultaneous house and Senate elections, Republicans seem to be able to maintain the advantage of living in the Senate. Even if he wins the election, it is almost impossible for Biden to pursue his own policies if the Senate with the power of personnel and budget is still in the hands of Republicans. In the future, the Republican Party is bound to use this point to incite the adverse public opinion of the Biden administration, so that the party can get a favorable situation in the next election. This is also a routine operation in American politics. This election has witnessed a record high turnout. American voters are also engaged in the political process with unprecedented enthusiasm. However, as a result, political antagonism among the people may be intensified. Will the United States lose the ability to implement long-term policies? Will politicians with the ability to control national anger decide the direction of future policy? < p > < p > China, which dares to face up to the major issue of decarbonization, is on the rise to guard against the resurgence of the epidemic and to implement a stable strategy for its own economic development. In such an international environment, the decline in the leadership of the United States, which once built the framework of the global order, will lead to extremely serious situations. We are in a situation where we have to take actions to deal with such situations.